Family genealogists accumulate varied amounts of data on each of their ancestors individually. One can get an augmented picture of their lives and times if certain of these data are pooled and examined by a modest application of statistics.The present study deals with the wills of 40 ancestors of the author who died in Massachusetts before 1700, and for whom dates are available for the writing of a will and death. In a few cases, the time between the writing of a will and the date of probate or the estate inventory has been used since the date of death was not found. In 25 cases where both death date and inventory date were known, the average lapse of time between them was 26 days, and in 50 percent of the cases it was 14 days or less. The longest death to inventory time was 90 days. In Middlesex County, in the mid-17th century, the inventory was often taken soon after death and before the first court appearance. Present day probate courts take note!
This examination was provoked by a conversation with one of our more experienced genealogists, who responded to my suggestion that I was finding a lot of death-bed wills among my ancestors, with the statement that “oh, no, they wrote them well in advance.” Another genealogist, however, guessed 95 percent were death-bed. Perhaps my ancestors were atypical. They were certainly for the most part humble people, but they did have property they wished to leave to specific heirs. They lived in various parts of Massachusetts including Essex and Old Norfolk counties, and Plymouth Colony.
The individual cases are presented in Table I, which shows for each man the year of death, days between the writing of the will and death, probate or inventory, and the net value of his estate. In Table II, the results are grouped by elapsed time classes.
In slightly more than half the cases, the time between writing a will and death was three months or less. This suggests that sick-bed wills were common, if they weren’t death-bed wills. It seems clear that the 22 percent written within 14 days of death were death-bed wills, and that in cases with longer periods up to, say, three months the testators had received strong indications of their mortal nature. With intervals longer than three months, it is hard to argue between prudence and premonition, particularly in the absence of information as to the cause of death, whether acute or lingering.
It might be argued that the degree of prudence shown as measured by increased length of the will-to-death time would be related to the size of a man’s estate, that is, the more he had to pass on, the more likely he would be to prepare for its disposition. A plot of will-to-death time vs. estate value was prepared, but is not presented here since it shows no such correlation between the two variables. At the extremes, the wealthiest man in the group, Joseph Jewett, had one of the shortest time lapses (nine days) and an estate worth more than 3000 pounds, and the four most prudent men with at least one year’s preparation for death had estates averaging less than 500 pounds. The average estate for this sample was 430 pounds with a standard deviation of 595. If the two largest (Dodge and Jewett) are excluded because they skew the average, the average is 311, with a standard deviation of 236, showing a more normal ratio of standard deviation to average.
There are of course limitations which must be recognized in this preliminary analysis. The sample is small, was not randomly picked except to the extent that anyone’s ancestors 8 to 10 generations back are something of a random group, and does not take into account how much of a man’s goods and property had been disposed by gift and deed [126] prior to the will and inventory. Even with these caveats in mind, it can be fairly stated that a major proportion of these 17th century wills were written in morbidis, if not in extremis.
Has a more comprehensive study of this situation been undertaken? The author would be interested to hear of any such effort. The limited data presented here does not justify a more sophisticated analysis. Kenneth A. Lockridge (Literacy in Colonial New England [New York, 1974]), in a study of literacy based on whether several hundred testators signed their wills, states without details that “a third of the persons in this sample made their wills within three months of probate.” Of particular interest, besides knowing if the high incidence of late wills was generally true in the 17th century, would be to find if this trend changed materially in the next hundred years, or not until the 19th and 20th centuries.
TABLE I
Time between Will and Death (or Will and Inventory) for 40 Massachusetts Residents - 1643-1694
| Name |
Year & County* |
Time Between Will and Death |
Time Between Will and Inventory |
Value of Estates (£'s) |
| William Ager |
1654 E |
|
0-3-17 |
43 |
| George Aldrich |
1683 S |
0-5-24 |
|
|
| Samuel Bass |
1694 S |
0-7-9 |
|
942 |
| Francis Bowman |
1687 S |
0-0-26 |
|
120 |
| Humphrey Bradstreet |
1655 E |
|
0-1-16 |
276 |
| Edward Breck |
1662 S |
0-0-3 |
|
607 |
| Thomas Bumstead |
1677 S |
0-0-28 |
|
99 |
| Nicholas Byram |
1688 P |
0-3-0 |
|
14 |
| John Carlton |
1668 B |
0-0-7 |
|
422 |
| John Cheney |
1666 E |
|
0-2-17 |
557 |
| Nathaniel Colburn |
1691 S |
0-10-14 |
|
87 |
| Richard Dodge |
1671 E |
0-7-1 |
|
1764 |
| George Dyer |
1672 S |
0-9-? |
|
425 |
| Samuel Edson |
1692 P |
4-6-4 |
|
148 |
| Jonathan Fairbanks |
1668 S |
0-6-4 |
|
329 |
| John Gallop |
1650 S |
0-2-6 |
|
311 |
| Jonathan Hayward |
1689 S |
0-0-2 |
|
630 |
| Joseph Jewett |
1661 E |
0-0-9 |
|
3288 |
| Austin Kilham |
1667 E |
0-0-3 |
|
122 |
| Richard Kimball |
1675 E |
0-3-17 |
|
690 |
| Thomas Low |
1677 E |
0-4-19 |
|
276 |
| Michael Metcalf |
1664 S |
0-1-12 |
|
364 |
| John Mills |
1678 S |
0-6-1 |
|
211 |
| Ephraim Morton |
1693 P |
|
0-1-4 |
170 |
| Henry Neale |
1688 S |
0-2-5 |
|
|
| Christopher Osgood |
1650 E |
|
0-5-21 (P)* |
|
| Moses Paine |
1643 S |
0-0-1 |
|
597 |
| Francis Parrot |
1656 E |
|
0-9-28 |
294 |
| James Penniman |
1664 S |
0-0-8 |
|
505 |
| Robert Pond |
1662 S |
|
0-2-5 |
95 |
| Robert Randall |
1691 S |
0-1-6 |
|
154 |
| John Reddiat |
1687 S |
|
0-4-20(P) |
139 |
| John Rogers |
1660 S |
|
0-0-12 |
275 |
| Henry Smith |
1687 S |
|
3-6-2 |
261 |
| Thomas Snow |
1669 S |
|
0-4-3 |
125 |
| John Staple |
1683 S |
1-4-25 |
|
95 |
| Thomas White |
1679 S |
|
0-1-21 |
176 |
| Henry Withington |
1666 S |
2-0-25 |
|
850 |
| William Worcester |
1662 E |
0-0-10 |
|
|
| John Wyatt |
1665 E |
|
0-1-3 |
156 |
*County: E=Essex; P = Plymouth, including towns in present Bristol; S = Suffolk, including towns in present Norfolk. Probate data for Plymouth and Suffolk at respective Probate Courts, for Essex from The Probate Records of Essex County (Salem. 1916-20).
**(P) = will to probate time.
[127]
TABLE II
Time Between Writing of Will and Death (Classed Data)
| Elapsed Time |
Number |
Cumulative No. |
% |
| 0-7 days |
5 |
5 |
12 |
| 8-14 days |
4 (1) ~ |
9 |
22 |
| 15-21 days |
0 |
9 |
22 |
| 22-30 days |
2 |
11 |
28 |
| 1-3 months |
10 (6) |
21 |
52 |
| 3-6 months |
8 (4) |
29 |
72 |
| 6-9 months |
4 |
33 |
82 |
| 9-12 months |
3 (1) |
26 |
90 |
| 1 year + |
4 (1) |
40 |
100 |
*(x) = Number of cases based on will to probate or inventory time.
[128]
By Philip S. Thayer